backtest / engine confidence

Hit rate and calibration

Every add, trim, hold, and watch call becomes a forward-return trial.

Open Research

Horizon Scoreboard

1M / 3M / 6M / 12M

Calibration

Expected vs realized

Signal Families

What is working

Thesis Buckets

Alpha by exposure

External Feed Status

Provider health

External Coverage

Signal reliability

Coverage Gap Queue

Missing external labels

External Alignment

Signal vs action

Alignment Due Dates

Label review cadence

Alignment Review Queue

Non-confirming labels

Alignment Watchlist

Due-soon examples

Top Wins

Decision return

Open Labels

Not mature yet